Data Analysis: Does Jules Bianchi’s Monaco Finish Show Marussia’s True Pace?

At the 2014 Monaco Grand Prix, Marussia's Jules Bianchi finished in the top 10 for the first time in the team's history, securing their first world championship points. Bianchi finished ahead of Ferrari's Kimi Raikkonen and McLaren's Kevin Magnussen (assisted by the Finn's ill-advised passing manoeuvre at the hairpin), as well as Lotus' Romain Grosjean, although a five-second penalty bumped Bianchi behind his countryman in the official classification. The question is: Was Marussia's performance just a fluke, assisted by several DNFs and the nature of the Circuit de Monaco, where passing is very difficult (though not impossible—cf. Bianchi and Nico Hulkenberg), or was it the culmination of a series of incremental improvements over th...

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