Assessing Lewis Hamilton’s Chances of Becoming the 2014 F1 World Champion

When he signed for Mercedes in September 2012, Lewis Hamilton—for the first time in his Formula One career—was playing the long game. He was, after all, departing a McLaren team that had provided him with the fastest car on the grid for an outfit that had won only a single grand prix in three years. For a man as single-minded as Hamilton, someone so used to instant success, it was quite the statement to betray his personal philosophy and place his belief in a project with potential, especially when he had flirted with a transfer to Red Bull, the sport’s dominant team, little over 12 months earlier. Since the ink dried on Hamilton’s three-year contract, the message coming out of Mercedes has always surrounded the regu...

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